Water Wind VanitasTier 1
at Store Champs
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
3-1-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.8%
avg ELO +8.9 per match
expected value
55.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1303
· median 1303
· range 1303–1303
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1125
Q1 1179
Q3 1329
1484
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Water Allies | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +20.0 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Wind Vanitas decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
